Chapter 3. New ethnoses.

Considering the supposition on supernova stars impact on our history we shall analyze the circumstances of central Solar Eclipses in the years of supernova star flashes with the aim to reveal the coincidences of Moons shadow trajectory with the axes of passionary drives. We shall question the year of flash itself and the next after it, as a supernova star radiates inten-sively within the period up to two years. We shall take into consideration our supposition that the dates of supernova star flashes are indicated with errors, growing as the chronological dates of flashes disappear into the heart of centuries.
In the first part of our investigation we analyzed supernova star flashes, limited by time period of passionary drive, already examined by L. N. Gumilev for our era, e. i. since 1-13 centuries.
We shall turn back to these centuries, and so far lets consider the statement on supernova stars of the years 1604 and 1572.
Investigations of Solar Eclipses within these periods gave interesting results concerning the discovery of possible new passionary drives. A su-pernova star of 1604 A. D. went down in history as a supernova star of Kepler and was noticed on 9th October in Ophiuchus constellation.
Within the period of 1604-1605 A. D. there were the following Cen-tral Solar Eclipses:
1. 29 April 1604.
2. 22 October 1604.
3. 18 April 1605.
4. 12 October 1605.

Lets analyze the circumstances of these Solar Eclipses.
1. Eclipse dd. 29 April 1604 A. D. central, circular, the greatest phase 0,936. Moons shadow trajectory went over the Southern Africa, the Indian Ocean, Ceylon, Burma, Thailand, Kampuchea, Vietnam and the southern part of the Philippine.
At that time Ophiuchus constellation was outside the horizon and a supernova star was not visible. There might have been no supernova star flash at all, taking into account that it was noticed on the 9th of October.
That is why this Eclipse does not interest us.
2. Eclipse dd. 22 October 1604, on the contrary, is very important for us, to make a supposition on new passionary drive.
This Eclipse was central, full and the greatest phase 1.038. Ser-pantinecarrier constellation and the supernova star are clearly seen in the regions of Moons shadow (at the moment of Eclipse).
Moons trajectory went over the Pacific Ocean, Peru and Brazil.

Taking into consideration the possible incubation period, about 150 years, that L. N. Gumilev spoke of, we can suppose theoretically the be-ginning of ethnogenesis explosion to be in the middle of 18 centure.
Is there any information in history on social shocks in this region? Yes, there is. It is a War for Independence of Spanish colonies of 1810-1826.
Passionary tension was a significant one.
"Simon Bolivars fight killed as many people in sparsely populated America as died during Napoleon Bonoparts wars in densely populated Europe 1 mln. People.
( 1, page 586)

3. Eclipse dd. 18 April 1605 A. D..Moons shadow trajectory went over the southern part of the Indian Ocean and judging by its passionary drive this Eclipse does not interest us.

4. Eclipse of 12th October 1605 A. D. is worthy of special attention.
This Eclipse is central, full, the largest phase 1, 023. Ophiuchus and Supernova star (at the moment of Eclipse) are well seen for regions of Eclipse.

Moons shadow trajectory came over the southern part of France, over the isles of Corsica, Sardinia, Sicily, Crete, Cyprus, the Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Turkmenistan.
On the basis of the above said we can suppose that ethnogenesis ex-plosion in this region began in the 18th century.
Are there any historical evidences of an increase of passionarity in these regions? Probably, we can refer to them The Great French Revolu-tion (1789 1799.), phenomenon of Napoleon Bonopart, processes in the Sicily, aggravation of Islamic fundamentalism.
Contemporary investigators of ethnogenesis problem confirm the presence of high level of passionarity in the regions of Iran and Iraq of those days.
Vladimir Michurin writes the following in his work Iran Renaissance in the light of ethnogenesis theory that was published in the magazine Our Contemporary, 8, 1992, pages 124-128.

While summing up - it is necessary to point out the typical characteristics of the increase phase noticed in Iran in the 19-20th centuries, that were discovered earlier on the basis of World History study.

1. Appearance of people of new mentality passionaries, the number of whom grew. And increase in their number was undulatory. They distin-guish three picks of passionarity 40-s years of 19th century (Babbitish revolution), the beginning of 19th century (revolutionary events, estab-lishment of left and Islamic movements) and, at last, Islamic revolution and the creation of the new, theocratic Iran. (bold type of author)
2.Enlargement of territory of ethnos area noticed in the raising phase was stopped in the 80-s of 20th century only by means of huge deliveries of modern armament to Iraq (it is quite possible that Iraq was also reorgan-ized by means of passionary drive).
(bold type of author)


This work was published also at the cite Gumilevica
Events of our days in the regions of Arabia, Iraq, Iran also certify the dynamic processes of ethnogenesis. Of course, it is still early to speak about final conclusions. This question needs additional investigation by specialists.
5.A supernova star of the year 1572.
Supernova star of 1572 was noticed on the 11th November in the con-stellation of Cassiopeia. The circumstances of its discovery, described above, indicate the possible convergence between the true date of flash and the date of its observance.
In the years 1572 1574 A. D. there were the following Central Solar Eclipses:

15th January 1572 A. D., 10th July 1572, 3rd January 1573, 20th May 1574, 13th November 1574.
The Eclipse of 15th January 1572 A. D. is full, central, the greatest phase 1.03. Moons shadow trajectory came over the Indian Ocean and

that is why this Eclipse presents no interest for us.
Eclipse of 10th July 1572 A. D. central, circular, the greatest phase 0-942. Moons shadow trajectory came over Sakhalin, Primorye, China, Tibet, India. Cassiopeia constellation in the regions of Eclipse was over the horizon.
Circumstances of this supernova star observance, given above, make us question the accuracy of the date of 11th November. Just as an experi-ment we shall make a supposition that supernova star of 1572 flashed some months earlier. In this case according to our supposition on super-nova star influence on the ethnosinesis, we can observe the beginning of passionary drive on (over) the Moons trajectory vestige in the 17-18 cen-turies.
What do specialists tell about it?
Vietnam could have possibly joined the inertia phase but if the new passionary drive, that took place in 18th century, that resulted in Teyshons insurrection. Insurrection in Vietnam lasted since 1771 till 1802. Within the same period there were insurrections in China against Manchurian Yoke in Sichuan, Gansu and Chubae. The first revolutionary actions in Ti-bet. (bold type of author)

Ethnogenesis of the Vietnamese. Michurin V. A., Chistov V. G. Magazine New Russia 9 dd. 1999. Published also at the cite Gu-milevica

Russia birth instead of Ancient Rus (XIII centure). And in 500 years we notice the phase of China raising, as well as of Japan, Iran. (bold type of K.S.)

Lev Gumilev: Space and Humanity. K. Butusov, candidate of physical and mathematics sciences, V. Michurin. Magazine Termina-tor 4/5 dd. 1995. Published also at the cite Gumilevica

As we can see there is a reference to ethnogenesis explosion within this period in these regions. Does the full axis of passionary drive coincide with the trajectory of Moons shadow? It is still too early to speak about it. It is for specialists to do it. Now we can only say that there is ground for discussions and investigations. As an additional conclusion we can agree that supernova star flash of 1572 A. D. occurred somewhat earlier than it is indicated in historical sources.
1. Eclipse of 3rd January 1573 A. D. - central, full, the greatest phase 1.000. Moons shadow trajectory came over the Antarctic and the southern part of the Pacific Ocean. This Eclipse presents no interest for us.
2. Eclipse of 20th of May 1574 A. D., central, full, the greatest phase 1.005.
Moons shadow trajectory came over the southern Atlantic, Southern Africa, Madagascar.
Unfortunately, we do not have any historical material on ethnogenesis explosion in this region in 18th centure.
3. Eclipse of 13th November 1574 A. D. central, circular, the greatest phase 0.904.
Moons shadow trajectory came over Canada, north-east of USA, At-lantic and Africa.

Let us remind that Tiho Brage observed this Supernova star until March 1574, and afterwards, as historians write, it became invisible. Now it is difficult to state, if its radiation intensity became smaller, or radiation peak moved from visible area of frequency into the other part of specter. In any case it would be interesting to get data on passionary drive presence or absence along this axis in the 18th centure. Besides other problem set-tlement, it would help to make a supposition on what part of specter of su-pernova star the starting mechanism of ethnogenesis explosion influences.

Используются технологии uCoz