Chapter 2.
Problem formulation and its decision.
Now when we have already given
a comprehensive analysis of the phenomena with which we shall deal
lets make some preliminary conclu-sions. What we have:
- Supposition that supernova star flashes have an impact on ethnogen-isis
explosion.
- Dates of observations of flashes of supernova stars with possible
in-accuracies some of them concerning years, months and days.
- Classification of stars, flashed, with possible errors at determination
of their class.
- Periods within which ethnogenesis explosions took place indicated
with possible inaccuracies as L. N. Gumilev referred to Skaligers
chronology.
But what do we have on what we
can rely without any doubts? More accurate? If there are any such
information?
There is such information. We can refer to it:
- geographic location of axes of ethnogenesis explosions.
- presence of five different explosions of ethnogenisis, indicated
by L. N. Gumilev for our era (A. D.).
- trajectories of Moons shadow at central Solar Eclipse.
- dates of Central Solar Eclipse.
It is dates accuracy of Central Solar Eclipse, accuracy of trajectory
of Moons shadow and its coincidence with axes of explosions of ethnogen-isis
that allow us to make an effort to specify the dates of supernova
star flashes, their classification and to supplement the supposition
on the con-nection of supernova stars with ethnogenisis by means of
new facts. In other words we would like to show that there is a casual-and-consecutive
relationship of the following kind: Supernova star Solar Eclipse
initial mechanism of ethnogenisis ethnogenesis explosion
Problem settlement.
Considering a hypothesis of L.
N. Gumilev on sudden origin of a source of passionary drive it is
necessary to say that the model cosmic ray causes doubts for some
reasons.
The first one: in our Solar System there are no objects of natural
ori-gin with such an acute-oriented radiation (read: laser).
The second: Theoretically, radiation of far space (gravitation lenses)
could appear in the form of stripes of such width and such kind but
exclu-sively as a phenomenon of small degree of probability.
The third: Alien civilizations can act in a simpler way.
We suggest considering another model. Our model does not suggest presence
of radiation ray. On the contrary, it suggest shielding of the most
powerful radiation source for the whole Earth - Sun. Such phenomenon
is observed quite regularly during Solar Eclipse.
If at this moment there is a supernova flashed star on the afternoon
sky it becomes the main radiation source in the stripe of moving of
the Moons shadow. It is in the stripe of Solar Eclipse that Ray
Effect is cre-ated, about which Gumilev spoke.
At this time inculcation of supernova star radiation to the energetic
structure of pre-ethnos, located in the stripe of Central Solar Eclipse,
takes place as well as introduction of ethnogenesis mechanism.
A supernova star eradiates quite
intensively in the visual frequency diapason within 1-2 years and
during this time several Central Solar Eclipses are possible.
Supernova star radiation outside the stripe of Eclipse (day and night)
evidently has also an impact on ethnoses, but this influence is general
and has a background character almost similar for all ethnoses, and
as a result there is no secretion of ethnogenesis
explosion.
I suppose that supernova stars influence the starting mechanism not
only by their radiation power but also by their unusual specter.
For a more detailed checking of the above-mentioned model it is nec-essary
to examine the circumstances of Central Solar Eclipses for the pe-riod
of 2000 years (since 300 B. C. till 1700 A. D.) and to correlate them
with axes of passionary drive zones and dates of flashes of supernova
stars.
But we shall do it in the second part of our investigation, and so
far we shall execute somewhat simpler things.
Lets arrange the dates of the first observation of supernova star
flashes from all the sources in chronological order as well as the
periods of ethnogenesis explosions according to L. N. Gumilev for
our era on one scale timing from 200 B. C. till 1300 A. D..
We shall not pay attention to supernova stars after the year of 1181
A. D., as L. N. Gumilev did not mark these explosions of ethnogenisis
after 13 centure. Lets examine the following scheme and analyze it.
Scheme of chronological correspondence
of the dates of the first observa-tion of supernova stars and ethnogenesis
explosions.
"Ethnogenisis explosion
or drive (mutation) is discovered in history not at once. Incubation
period precedes it, which is usually not very long about 150 years.
"neighbors (neighboring ethnoses author.) may cause termination
of the beginning process. (2, page 83).
Specifications to the scheme:
1
*- is discovered by Gipparh in July 134
B. C. in the Scorpion constellation
2
* - the Vifliemskaya Star
1
1 centure.
Southern Sweden (Gothic people migration from
the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea. Creation of Gothic Empire in Eastern
Europe.) Nearcarpathian region, Asia Minor, Syria, Palestine (establishment
of Christian Communi-ties.
Brake up with Judaism. Establishment of the Institution of a Church.
Judeo 2. Renovation of the cult and world outlook. Talmud appear-ance.),
Abissinia. ( 1, page 414)
( here and later on
is given in abbreviated form)
3
*- a supernova star
discovered in 185 A. D. in the Centaur constellation. Within several
weeks it was brighter than everything in the sky, except the Sun and
the Moon. By July 186 it disappeared.
- Gumilev
L. N. told nothing about the presence of ethnogenesis explosion in
this period and later on till 500 year.
4
* - in 393 A. D. a
star in the Scorpion constellation flashes. Its brightness reaches
the Sirius brightness; and it was visual within 8 months.
2
6 centure.
Central Arabia (unification
of Arabian Peninsula. Change of religion. Islam.). Inda Valley (Complication
of Caste System. Creation of religious philosophy of Vedanta. Triple
monotheism: Brama, Shiva, Vishnu.). Tibet, Northern China, Korea (Unification
of Korea under the power of Silla. Learning of Confucianian moral,
intensive spreading of Buddhism.). Japan (Yamato. Building of central
State with the head of a Monarch. Ac-ceptance of Confucianian moral
as a state ethics. Wide spreading of Bud-dhism). ( 1, page 415)
5
* - a supernova
star noticed in 668 A. D.
3
8 centure.
Spain (the beginning of
Reconquista (sp.). Establishment of the fol-lowing Kingdoms: Austria,
Navarra, Leon, county of Portugal). France (Francs.). Germany (Collapse
of the Empire of Karl the Great. Repulse of Vikings, Arabs, Hungarians
and Slavs. Disintegration of Christianity and its division into
Orthodox and Papistical branches. Denmark, Norway (the beginning
of Vikings movement. Appearance of poetry and runic written language.)
( 1 page 415)
6
*- a supernova star noticed
in 872 A. D..
7
* - a supernova star noticed in 902
A. D...
8
* - a supernova star noticed on the
3rd of May 1006 A. D. in the Wolf Constellation. According to some
contemporary estimations its brightness at its maximum point was
approximately 1/10 of the brightness of the full Moon.
9
*- a supernova star of the 4th of July
in the Taurus constellation. An absolute stellar magnitude 13.
Since the year of 1054 A.D. the remnants from the star after an
explosion are identified with Crab-like Nebula.
4
11 centure.
Mongolia (Mongols. Appearance of people of long will. Unification
of tribes into people-army. Law appearance Yasa and written language.
Ulus enlargement from the Yellow Sea to the Black Sea). Chgurchgeny.
(Manchuria. Establishment of the Republic Tsin of half-chinese type.
Ag-gression to the South. Conquering of Northern China).
( 1, page 415)
10
* - a supernova noticed in
1181 in the Cassiopeia constellation.
5
13 centure.
Lithuania (establishment of strong Princely Authority. Acceptance
of Christianity). Rus (Velicorussians. Disappearance of Ancient
Rus, con-quered by Lithuanians. Growing of Moscow Principality.
Increasing of working estate. Wide metization of Slovenian, Turkic
and Ugorish people of Eastern Europe). Asia Minor (turks-osmans.
Sultanate of military type. Ottomanish Porta. Conquering of the
Balkans, Front Asia and Northern Africa up to Morocco). Ethiopia.
(1, page 415)
Analysis of the above-mentioned information at the scheme shows
that there is a tendency to arrange the observations of supernova
star ex-plosions and the dates of passionary drives into groups
for the period of the last two thousand years. Chronological lasting
of one group is 150-200 years. In every Group a supernova star flash
precedes ethnogenesis ex-plosion.
Disputable stars (*1
Gipparh 134 B. C.) and (*
2- the Vifliem Star) received their own ethnogenesis explosion
in the 1st centure. Evidently, one of them was already a supernova
star.
No passionary drive preceded supernova star explosion of the year
185 (
* 3). It can be explained
in the following way:
- process of ethnogenesis was interrupted by neighboring ethnoses.
- ethnogenesis was not investigated due to lack of written proofs.
- according to its parameters it not a supernova star, but a nova
one.
- the date of a supernova star was indicated with an error.
Ethnogenesis explosion in 6, 8, 13 centuries
correspond to supernova stars of 393 A. D. (*
4), 668 A. D. (* 5), 1184
A. D. (* 10).
Anomalously high chronological density of supernova stars in 9-11
centuries (* 6,7,8,9) gives
rise to some doubts concerning the truth of their dating. Probably,
it was one and the same star, which appearance is reflected in different
sources, and the subsequent irregular translation caused some errors
in dates and duplicating of that phenomenon.
Is a supposition on a correlation between supernova stars and eth-nogenesis
is correct than we can come to a conclusion that there should be
not less than five supernova stars for the period from 150 B. C.
till 1200 A.D..
It is a lower bound. But it is much more difficult to define the
upper bound. Supposedly, it makes up seven. Star flashes*
2, 6, 7 are indicated as the most doubtful in different sources.
These conclusions are considered by us to be preliminary, working.
One can say so far that supposition on a correlation between super-nova
stars and ethnogenesis has some ground.
In course of further investigation we are intended to check the
circum-stances of all Central Solar Eclipses from 300 B. C. till
1700 A. D. We are interested in Eclipses with trajectories of the
Moon shadow, coinciding with ethnogenesis explosion axes.